Email Jorgen.moller@evidera.com

To be able to predict the future with any credibility, data from multiple sources is required. This is regardless if it is epidemiology, public health or even production or demand you are looking at. The data then must be joint, typically in a model which extrapolates the information and thus paints a picture of a likely future.

Depending on the nature of the research question, and the available data, different modeling paradigms can and should be chosen and an appropriate combination of analyses should be conducted.

Our task is to provide the students and the field with the knowledge and insights, to be able to model the best possible decision support. With my background in discrete event simulation modeling of airports, hospital clinics, production and distribution networks, with the added knowledge of health economics, I strive to be able to do my part.

• NUS Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health (Honorary Visiting)
• Evidera (Primary)

• Modeling of health economics and epidemiology
• Modeling methods development

• PE and epidemiologic modeling

• MSc Mechanical Engineering, Lund University, Sweden, 1991

• Locon AB, Sweden, Logistic Consultant, 1988-1993
• SSP Hospital Catering, Sweden, Technical Production development, 1993-1994
• Simulog AB, Sweden, CEO & Founder, 1994-2000
• Establish AB, Sweden, Project Manager, 2000-2003
• Caro Research Inc, USA, Simulation Expert, 2003-2008
• UBC, Evidera and Evidera by PPD, UK, Vice President Modeling Technologies, 2008-Present

• Tafazzoli A, Chavan A, Harty G, Moller J, Wong S. Efficiency Model of Cladribine Tablets Versus Infusion-Based Disease-Modifying Drugs for Patients with Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis. Advances in Therapy (2020). doi:10.1007/s12325-020-01426-7
• Möller J. Cooking Up a Transparent Model Following a DICE Recipe. PharmacoEconomics (2019) 37. 1-7. doi:10.1007/s40273-019-00840-2
• Ghabri S, Stevenson M, Möller J, Caro JJ. Trusting the Results of Model‑Based Economic Analyses: Is there a Pragmatic Validation Solution? PharmacoEconomics (2019) 37:1– doi:10.1007/s40273-018-0711-9
• Caro JJ, Möller J. Adding Events to a Markov Model Using DICE Simulation. Med Decis Making. 2017; doi:10.1177/0272989X17715636
• Möller J, Davis S, Stevenson M, Caro JJ. Validation of a DICE Simulation Against a Discrete Event Simulation Implemented Entirely in Code. PharmacoEconomics (2017) 35: 1103. doi:10.1007/s40273-017-0534-0
• Caro JJ, Möller J, Karnon J, Stahl J, Ishak J. Discrete Event Simulation for Health Technology Assessment. CRC Press. 2015
• Karnon J, Stahl JE, Brennan A, Caro JJ, Mar J, Möller J. Modeling using discrete event simulation: A report of the ISPOR-SMDM modeling good research practices task force-4. Value Health 2012;15:821-27