{"id":12098,"date":"2020-11-25T10:35:46","date_gmt":"2020-11-25T02:35:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/?p=12098"},"modified":"2020-11-26T17:18:34","modified_gmt":"2020-11-26T09:18:34","slug":"no-community-cases-in-two-weeks-but-not-time-to-get-complacent","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/blog\/2020\/11\/25\/no-community-cases-in-two-weeks-but-not-time-to-get-complacent\/","title":{"rendered":"No community cases in two weeks but not time to get complacent"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Zero locally transmitted cases were reported in Singapore in the past two weeks. This is the longest period without any cases in the community since the pandemic started.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI think it is a good milestone, and it gives us cautious optimism that our current measures, even in Phase Two, are sufficient to reduce the transmissibility of the virus significantly to the point where probably the majority of small outbreaks might burn themselves out,\u201d said <a href=\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/faculty-directory\/hsu-li-yang\/\">Associate Professor Hsu Li Yang<\/a>, Vice Dean (Global Health) and Programme Leader (Infectious Diseases).<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBut I stress the word \u2018cautious\u2019 here because countries such as China and New Zealand have also reached the same stage and beyond in the past, only to deal with very large outbreaks of COVID-19 that reappeared in their populations,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<p>Although the number of locally transmitted cases has tapered off, it is not time to get complacent as there may be asymptomatic infections lurking in the community.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cGetting zero cases does not mean we have reached zero infections,\u201d said <a href=\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/faculty-directory\/cook-alex-richard\/\">Associate Professor Alex Cook<\/a>, Vice Dean (Research).<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u201cThere could still be a very small number of undetected asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic cases that are circulating, and may seed further community cases,\u201d added Dean, <a href=\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/faculty-directory\/teo-yik-ying\/\">Professor Teo Yik Ying<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cUnless there is widespread and routine testing like what we do for migrant workers in dormitories, it will be difficult to identify asymptomatic cases in the community,\u201d said Prof Teo.<\/p>\n<p>There is also a chance of imported infections seeping into the community. Assoc Prof Cook noted that most imported cases will be detected, but a small fraction may not be.<\/p>\n<p>Some who get infected shortly before flying into Singapore will have a long incubation or latent period before the virus manifests itself, and that causes them to test negative on their exit swab at the end of their quarantine, he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEven with 14 days of strict quarantine and an exit test, a small percentage of infected travellers will pass undetected. That is why I don&#8217;t get too excited about reaching zero cases \u2014 there is always a risk of spill-over from importations,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<p>Media coverage:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.straitstimes.com\/singapore\/spore-reining-in-virus-but-dont-let-guard-down-yet-say-experts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">S&#8217;pore reining in virus, but don&#8217;t let guard down yet, say experts<\/a>, The Straits Times, 24 November 2020<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tnp.sg\/news\/singapore\/singapore-sees-longest-stretch-without-local-covid-19-infections\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Singapore sees longest stretch without local Covid-19\u00a0infections<\/a>, The New Paper, 24 November 2020<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=KSiiYPJn3Kc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">No locally transmitted COVID-19 cases in Singapore for 14 days<\/a>, Channel NewsAsia (Singapore Tonight, 10pm), 24 November 2020<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zero locally transmitted cases were reported in Singapore in the past two weeks. This is the longest period without any cases in the community since the pandemic started. \u201cI think it is a good milestone, and it gives us cautious optimism that our current measures, even in Phase Two, are sufficient to reduce the transmissibility of the virus significantly to the point where probably the majority of small outbreaks might burn themselves out,\u201d said Associate Professor Hsu Li Yang, Vice Dean (Global Health) and Programme Leader (Infectious Diseases). \u201cBut I<a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/blog\/2020\/11\/25\/no-community-cases-in-two-weeks-but-not-time-to-get-complacent\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":12099,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"disabled","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[4068],"class_list":["post-12098","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-covid-19"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>No community cases in two weeks but not time to get complacent - Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/blog\/2020\/11\/25\/no-community-cases-in-two-weeks-but-not-time-to-get-complacent\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"No community cases in two weeks but not time to get complacent - Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Zero locally transmitted cases were reported in Singapore in the past two weeks. This is the longest period without any cases in the community since the pandemic started. \u201cI think it is a good milestone, and it gives us cautious optimism that our current measures, even in Phase Two, are sufficient to reduce the transmissibility of the virus significantly to the point where probably the majority of small outbreaks might burn themselves out,\u201d said Associate Professor Hsu Li Yang, Vice Dean (Global Health) and Programme Leader (Infectious Diseases). \u201cBut IRead more\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/blog\/2020\/11\/25\/no-community-cases-in-two-weeks-but-not-time-to-get-complacent\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/nus.sshsph\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-11-25T02:35:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-11-26T09:18:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/train-men-masks-downtown-line.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1282\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Elle Jin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Elle Jin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/blog\/2020\/11\/25\/no-community-cases-in-two-weeks-but-not-time-to-get-complacent\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/blog\/2020\/11\/25\/no-community-cases-in-two-weeks-but-not-time-to-get-complacent\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Elle Jin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/#\/schema\/person\/2fd2f021ced00cbb4966b1ad70653763\"},\"headline\":\"No community cases in two weeks but not time to get complacent\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-11-25T02:35:46+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-11-26T09:18:34+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/blog\/2020\/11\/25\/no-community-cases-in-two-weeks-but-not-time-to-get-complacent\/\"},\"wordCount\":409,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/blog\/2020\/11\/25\/no-community-cases-in-two-weeks-but-not-time-to-get-complacent\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/train-men-masks-downtown-line.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"covid-19\"],\"articleSection\":[\"News\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/blog\/2020\/11\/25\/no-community-cases-in-two-weeks-but-not-time-to-get-complacent\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/sph.nus.edu.sg\/blog\/2020\/11\/25\/no-community-cases-in-two-weeks-but-not-time-to-get-complacent\/\",\"name\":\"No community cases in two weeks but not time to get complacent - 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